Who is this clown? He seems to have very little idea of either Statistics, the time frames involved in Hydrocarbon formation or the "Scientific Method".
In fact, the abiotic theory is not even taken seriously in Russia-Ukrane where it developed. Most scientists studing the Dneiper-Donetsk basin in the Ukrane, an area that abiotic origin theorists like to point to, are convinced the origin is of Bioligical origin. It has 2 overlaping Organic rich sedimentary source rocks. Eugene Island, another abiotic origin theorist show peice. This island began producing oil offshore in the early 70’s. Initially at the rate of about 15000barrels a day. By the late 80’s it was clear that this field was nearing it’s end, production had dropped to about 4000-5000barrels a day. This field then zoomed back up to about 13000 barrels a day. The new oil is also considerably different in age. I can’t remember whether thats older or younger, will have to check. Anyway, once again this field has "peaked". It’s production is again declining. This oil has again been studied and has been studied by scientists, most reputable scientists can find nothing to suggest it is anything but of biological origin. The current theory is that oil is migrating along the Red Faultline from one of the many smaller resovoirs drawn by the increasing pressure differental between it & the area around the drillhole.
As for peaking, how many oil companies are still drilling for oil in Pennsylvania, the birthplace of the US oil industry? Not many, and those that do don’t get a lot. It would be a waste of time & money to even try, it’s all gone. Modern techniques of oil extraction might get some of left behind oil that earlier drillers were unable to get to, but with cheap Middle East & Russian oil on the market, whoes going to pay for it. This area is played out, there is nothing left to find. That to me proves "peaking". If you beleive in abiotic oil, put your money where your mouth is and sink a hole in the ground around Titusville, Pennsylvania and see how long you can stay in business on the oil revenues you make. That area should of had suffiecient time for Abiotic oil to refill the resovoirs by now, right?
Personally, the biggest single evidence to me of oils forth coming world production curve peak is the peak in the worlds discovery curve. This happened in the mid 60’s, and had declined ever since. We have been finding less oil than we produced every year since 1981. What happens if you have a box of 20 biscuits, and you eat 2 a day. However, your a bit of a baker, so you decide that you will baking replacments. But your a bit tight on the finances and can only afford to bake 1 biscuit a day. How long are you going to have biscuits in the cupboard? The evidence for falling discoveries is coming from so many different sources that it can not be doubted.
I’m not going to say much about this guys "bell curve" criticisms, just that he needs to go back to school. Once human activities are involved, very few bell curves, exactly follow the lines of a bell.
However, lets assume we have an Abiotic origin for oil, over the last 100 million years. Where does that continous production of oil go? If its being continously produced at depth either it has to go somewhere and leak out, or pressure in the rocks is going to be increasing at a rate proportional to the rate of production. The pressures inside the earths mantal are more than capable of punching through the earths crust as evidenced by volcanism. Thats the pressure driving the abiotically produced oil so it will be well & trully capable of puncing out of the crust, given time to seep upward from the magmatic source to the cap rocks that trap & concentrate it. Natural seepage is very small compared to world production. Therefore why do we not have great craters all over the world where just that has happened? An alternative to that theory is that oil is produced slowly from magmatic sources at the rate to keep up with natural seepage. This is still far lower than world production and we’re back to the example of the biscuits, we eat oil far faster than it’s being produced.
Who is this clown? He seems to have very little idea of either Statistics, the time frames involved in Hydrocarbon formation or the "Scientific Method".
In fact, the abiotic theory is not even taken seriously in Russia-Ukrane where it developed. Most scientists studing the Dneiper-Donetsk basin in the Ukrane, an area that abiotic origin theorists like to point to, are convinced the origin is of Bioligical origin. It has 2 overlaping Organic rich sedimentary source rocks. Eugene Island, another abiotic origin theorist show peice. This island began producing oil offshore in the early 70’s. Initially at the rate of about 15000barrels a day. By the late 80’s it was clear that this field was nearing it’s end, production had dropped to about 4000-5000barrels a day. This field then zoomed back up to about 13000 barrels a day. The new oil is also considerably different in age. I can’t remember whether thats older or younger, will have to check. Anyway, once again this field has "peaked". It’s production is again declining. This oil has again been studied and has been studied by scientists, most reputable scientists can find nothing to suggest it is anything but of biological origin. The current theory is that oil is migrating along the Red Faultline from one of the many smaller resovoirs drawn by the increasing pressure differental between it & the area around the drillhole.
As for peaking, how many oil companies are still drilling for oil in Pennsylvania, the birthplace of the US oil industry? Not many, and those that do don’t get a lot. It would be a waste of time & money to even try, it’s all gone. Modern techniques of oil extraction might get some of left behind oil that earlier drillers were unable to get to, but with cheap Middle East & Russian oil on the market, whoes going to pay for it. This area is played out, there is nothing left to find. That to me proves "peaking". If you beleive in abiotic oil, put your money where your mouth is and sink a hole in the ground around Titusville, Pennsylvania and see how long you can stay in business on the oil revenues you make. That area should of had suffiecient time for Abiotic oil to refill the resovoirs by now, right?
Personally, the biggest single evidence to me of oils forth coming world production curve peak is the peak in the worlds discovery curve. This happened in the mid 60’s, and had declined ever since. We have been finding less oil than we produced every year since 1981. What happens if you have a box of 20 biscuits, and you eat 2 a day. However, your a bit of a baker, so you decide that you will baking replacments. But your a bit tight on the finances and can only afford to bake 1 biscuit a day. How long are you going to have biscuits in the cupboard? The evidence for falling discoveries is coming from so many different sources that it can not be doubted.
I’m not going to say much about this guys "bell curve" criticisms, just that he needs to go back to school. Once human activities are involved, very few bell curves, exactly follow the lines of a bell.
However, lets assume we have an Abiotic origin for oil, over the last 100 million years. Where does that continous production of oil go? If its being continously produced at depth either it has to go somewhere and leak out, or pressure in the rocks is going to be increasing at a rate proportional to the rate of production. The pressures inside the earths mantal are more than capable of punching through the earths crust as evidenced by volcanism. Thats the pressure driving the abiotically produced oil so it will be well & trully capable of puncing out of the crust, given time to seep upward from the magmatic source to the cap rocks that trap & concentrate it. Natural seepage is very small compared to world production. Therefore why do we not have great craters all over the world where just that has happened? An alternative to that theory is that oil is produced slowly from magmatic sources at the rate to keep up with natural seepage. This is still far lower than world production and we’re back to the example of the biscuits, we eat oil far faster than it’s being produced.