Interesting remarks. However, exit polls do not sample those who vote early or by absentee ballot. Both groups tend to be heavily Republican. Further, the exit poll samples were heavily biased. I recall at one time on election day the exit poll results from North Carolina were highly dubious because 63% of the voters sampled were women. Since women favored Kerry, obviously the poll showed an edge for Kerry. Men are less likely to respond to exit polls than women, often responding with remarks like "Go ___ yourself". Having worked in the voting research area at the Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor while in graduate school there, I think I am well qualified to opine on this matter.
Interesting remarks. However, exit polls do not sample those who vote early or by absentee ballot. Both groups tend to be heavily Republican. Further, the exit poll samples were heavily biased. I recall at one time on election day the exit poll results from North Carolina were highly dubious because 63% of the voters sampled were women. Since women favored Kerry, obviously the poll showed an edge for Kerry. Men are less likely to respond to exit polls than women, often responding with remarks like "Go ___ yourself". Having worked in the voting research area at the Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor while in graduate school there, I think I am well qualified to opine on this matter.