Home > ... > Forum 5740

> Media Black Out on Vote Fraud Allegations

16 November 2004, 16:59

Actually the early vote and absentee vote in Florida and in Ohio was heavily Kerry.

And an exit poll is NOT the same as other polls. This is asking someone who just stepped out of a voting booth who they voted on. And it has a high power because it is easy to get 3000 samples, which puts the error rate at under +/- 0.5%

Kerry won 51% to 49% in the exit polls. This is outside the error of margin of the exit poll.

A normal poll has an error of margin of over +/- 5%. 10 times the rate of error of an exit poll. This is because it has a smaller sample size, and that you aren’t even sure if the person you talked to is even going to vote on election day.